Breakdown: Defense vs Bills

(John McDonnell/The Washington Post)
(John McDonnell/The Washington Post)

Defensive Line + Total Notes
Baker 4.5 3.5 1 Not as strong as earlier in the year.  Still think he’s hurt.
Hatcher 2 0 2 Disappeared after the 2nd drive
Kerrigan 7 6 1 Aggressive in his up field rush.  Helped vs pass, hurt vs the run.
Jean-Francois 5.5 6 -0.5 Mostly good vs the run.  Lost his lane vs the pass which lead to a few scrambles
Kearse 1.5 3 -1.5 Way better than last week
Knighton 6.5 7 -0.5 All or nothing with his A-gap penetrating technique.  Either got taken out of the play or disrupted the backfield.
Golston 5.5 1 4.5 Huge factor on the goal line stand.
Totals 32.5 26.5 6 Came up huge with a goal line stand.  Pass rush was up and down.
Linebackers + Total Notes
Foster 4 7.5 -3.5 Got in the wrong gap on a few inside runs
Compton 9 10.5 -1.5 On the negative plays:  Not shedding blocks, not reacting fast enough given his speed.  On the positive plays: read plays on his first step or even pre-snap, that is when he can be disruptive.
Murphy 1.5 8.5 -7 Got -4 on the 60 yd TD run, -2 on the option play before the half.
Smith 1 3.5 -2.5
Totals 15.5 30 -14.5 This unit was a problem
Defensive Backs + Total Notes
Blackmon 3 0 3 Solid in coverage
Goldson 1 5.5 -4.5 The other big part of the 60 yard run.
Dhall 1 4 -3  -2 on the 48 yard TD pass to Watkins
Bashaud 2 2 0  Same.
Jarrett 2 1 1
Dunbar 2 1 1
Totals 11 13.5 -2.5  

Pressure: +5, -14 for a total of -9.  We had guys getting out of their pass rush lanes and leaving wide open run lanes for Tyrod.

Coverage:  +18, -10 for a total of +8.

I charted the first 49 plays (7 drives), which takes us up to 35-17 with 11 minutes left in the game.


 

Before they ran the quarterback: The first 3 drives consisted of mainly outside runs and got the Bills 26 yards on 18 plays which worked out to 1.4 yards per play.

For reference, the NFL average according to nfl.com is 5.5 yards per play.

After they ran the quarterback: Starting with the 4th drive the Bills went on to rack up 292 yards on their next 31 plays for 9.4 yards per play.  Which…got damn.

They started out the game by targeting Knighton:

KnightonSeal

Instead of blocking with regular outside zone blocking (the way the Redskins do it) the Bills had the guard (yellow) block down on Knighton and the center wrap around to lead the way:


Knighton was in for 1 more run play (it was called back for illegal motion) before we told him to have a seat.  We ended up going with Golston and Baker for as long as we could and everything was going great as the Bills stumbled their way to a 1.4 yards-per-play clip.  Yep, everything was going just fine until:


Normally, we gap exchange on this type of run play like so:

QBRun1

But Smith and Foster look unsure about what to do and their indecision slows the whole thing down long enough for Tyrod to bounce outside.

(Counter) Inverted Veer:

Same drive, 8 plays later (2 of which were scrambles for 19 yards):

inverted-veer

QBRun2

Baker is sure this is an outside run, which fit their tendency.  He heads up the line to stuff it but by the time he realizes it’s a counter QB run he’s sealed out the play.  The run is called an “inverted veer.”  The blocking up front is “counter.”  Counter is where the guard pulls across the formation and kicks out the defensive end and a second puller behind him (in this case the tackle) leads the way.  (The diagram above is from smartfootball.com and does not include counter blocking.):


Very next play is a Lead Option:

QBRun3

Compton has to check his gap before playing the quarterback and pitch man (the ‘pitch man’ is the RB behind the quarterback.)  Compton’s gap is the 5 gap, or “C” gap.  The TE is blocking down on him so he needs to get outside of that block–and that is asking a lot given his shedding ability and speed.  Meanwhile, Murphy and DHall:

QBRun3a

are playing some kind of QB and pitch man combo.  From everything I’ve read up on the option the above picture is a best guess as to who covers who.


Basically this whole thing falls apart because of Murphy. My guess as to what happened: Murphy is lined up in a 9-tech (outside the TE) so he had the quarterback.  He thinks Tyrod is going to pitch and played through to the pitch and ends up missing both guys.  That leaves DHall in ‘wtf do I do’ mode as he has to now defend 2 guys and take on the lead blocker. The lead blocker takes DHall out of the play and at that point Tyrod should have pitched for the touchdown but he doesn’t and Compton makes a great play.

That is followed by a goal line stand where Golston destroys the offensive line:

Gline
Knighton gets blown out of the play and into the end zone. But that’s ok because Golston moves his man all the way over to where Knighton was and then drives him back into the running back which trips up the RB short of the goal line:

3rd quarter opens up and Barry looks to be a little shook by all that option stuff because he pulls Foster and puts Jarrett in our 3-4 defense:

Jarrett34LB

That is a new look with Jarrett lined up in a similar position to where Compton was in the last Lead Option play.  I’m thinking this was a wrinkle to add more speed against outside option runs and quarterback scrambles.  (FWIW Jarrett is in as a linebacker for 2 plays on this drive and the Bills ran it inside and at him both times.)

Later in the drive Foster attacks a wrong gap and gives up a 10 yard gain, then the Bills go Play Action for 26 yards: the pressure was pathetic on that play and Tyrod had all day to throw it.  That 26 yarder is followed by another outside run:

Perimeter Run Defense:

Pre-snap, Foster checks with Goldson to see who has contain and who has alley responsibility.  After the snap Foster heads for contain responsibility which would leave Kerrigan as inside support on the edge and Goldson as the alley fill:

Fence
Kerrigan tries to be superman and attack up field too early and Goldson does a horrible job filling his alley. Foster is the only one to keep up his end of the bargain, so it ends up looking like this:

FenceII
That ends up being an eleven yard run. Kerrigan getting up field early and Goldson not giving good alley support were themes throughout the game.

Inverted Veer II:

2 plays later the Bills were faced with a crucial 3rd and 1 and they go back to the Inverted Veer out of the exact same personnel as earlier.  This time we’re ready for it:

The 60 Yard Run

The way it’s supposed to be set up is in yellow, what actually happened is in white:

60ydRun

Knighton is right where he’s supposed to be and he even fought off a couple of blockers to get there.  Jean-Francois makes a rare error and finds himself on the inside shoulder of the guard instead of getting outside of him to where his gap was assigned.  Richie Incognito is a strong dude though, so it’s kinda eh, ok.  Goldson is MIA because he’s chasing down wide receivers thinking this is a pass play.  Never mind that the running back has had the ball for 5 full steps, Goldson don’t care.  And then Murphy is…I don’t even know.  It’s 3rd and 1 and he’s rushing the passer.  He completely blows contain:


What Does It All Mean?
If I’m Coach Barry I’m looking at Goldson and Murphy with a cocked eyebrow as I fill in my depth chart.  Murphy has already been losing time to Smith and he didn’t do himself any favors in this game.  Goldson has been messing up once or twice every game since I started this blog.  That’s okay for a defensive lineman but it’s playing with fire if you’re a Free Safety.  Jarrett is listed as Goldson’s backup but he’s also our Dime corner, 3-4 linebacker and he’s splitting snaps with DHall at Strong Safety.  Options behind Goldson are limited.

I’m hoping another week of rest will help Hatcher and Baker get healthy.  Hatcher disappeared after the 2nd drive (of what I charted) and Baker is not at the Hulk level he was earlier in the year.

Our perimeter run defense has leaks right now and that would be a nice thing to shore up heading into Saturday versus Chip Kelly’s offense.  Last week Smith was up and down with his perimeter run defense but at least he understood the general vicinity of where he needed to be.  At this point it’s looking like Smith might be more trustworthy compared to Murphy at defensive end/OLB opposite Kerrigan.

CHART

Drive 1 (9:16)
Ln Dn Ds RB TE Off Formation Def Formation R/P Play Call Yards
B23 1 10 2 1 Shtogun 2 Back Twins 3-4 under Run OZ (Lead) split side 10
Murphy has contain so the TE ignores him and works to cut Baker (+0.5) who recognizes outside zone and runs off the line to the playside, kinda hard to cut that.  The tackle tries to scoop Hatcher (+0.5) but Hatcher submarines into him to stop that.  Backside guard is trying to work up to the second level but instead had to seal out Baker running up the line because the LBs were shifted over so far playside.  I think we knew this run was coming.  Knighton (-1.5) is in a tilted stance so they seal him out with the guard and pull the center around him (tampa bay did that on their opening play too).  Center is now acting as the playside guard and the FB is lead blocking, those 2 will have to be dealt with by Compton and Foster.  Compton (-1) takes on the center with the wrong shoulder and sealed out of the play.  Foster takes on his block a bit outside, but it looks like he had contain pre-snap.  So it’s understandable he worked hard out that way, but no need since Kerrigan (+1) rocked the tackle back 3 yards and set force all by himself.  RB cuts it upfield between Compton and Foster
B33 1 10 1 2 Shotgun 2(H) x 2(H) 3-4 over Pass(4) Screen (Scramble) 2
Kerrigan (+0.5) stops the throw but loses contain on Tyrod, Compton (+0.5) is able to come up and stall the QB enough for help to arrive. (coverage +1)
B35 2 8 1 1 Shotgun 3×1 Nickel over Pass(4) WR Screen 3
Baker (+0.5) shoots his gap and almost stops this whole thing.  Blackmon (+0.5) holds up the edge good enough vs the TE and Goldson (+0.5) with a textbook banana alley pursuit angle.
B38 3 5 1 1 Shotgun 3×1 Dime Split Pass(4) Scramble 5
Jarrett in as the dime back.  We show cover 0 blitz but then back out.  Smith (-1) jumps over the back but loses contain on Tyrod (coverage +1) (pressure -1).  Baker (-0.5) with good sideline pursuit before losing his feet, Compton (-1) misses the tackle.  Blackmon (+0.5) with a punishing hit but not enough to stop the first down
B43 1 10 1 2 Ace 3(H) x 1 tight 3-4 under Pass OZ HB Pass 1
This was pass all the way by the HB, but Watkins is covered so he panics and rolls out/scrambles for whatever he can get.  Murphy (-1) loses contain.  Jean-Francois (+1) is alert enough to set contain and Dhall (+1) comes from his deep safety spot to make the tackle
B44 2 9 2 1 Wildcat 3(H) x 1 tight (tackle over) 3-4 over Run OZ (Lead) split side -1
The split end side has an extra OT so it’s not really a split surface.  Backside TE and guard work through Jean-Francois (+0.5) to Goldson but can’t reach Goldson because JF gets away with defensive holding on the guard.  Center and playside guard work Golston (-1) to Compton (-0.5).  Golston gets pushed back into the center by the guard and the guard throws him past the LOS and has his backside pursuit stopped cold.  Compton has to check for a cut up the backside A gap and then sticks to his block and gets taken out the play.  Playside tackles work Kerrigan/Kearse (+0.5) through to Foster (+1).  Kearse gets penetration but then loses a bit of ground, however keeps up pursuit throughout the play.  Foster gets outside his block and then uses Jedi Mind Tricks on Watkins.  That was kinda weird, I guess Watkins was more concerned with blocking the deep safety.  Kerrigan (+1) gets penetration vs the FB and alters the WR path which extends the amount of time it takes for him to get outside, where Bashaud (+1) makes an open field tackle.
B43 3 10 1 1 Shotgun 2×2(H) Dime over Pass(5) In 15
We send 5 (pressure -1).  Jarrett (-1) (coverage -1) doesn’t take the Hook zone properly and widens out to the TE which leaves the deep In open behind him.  Compton is blitzing so that’s defintely on Jarrett.
R42 1 10 2 1 Shotgun 2 Back 2×1 (6OL) 3-4 under Run(Pen) OZ (Lead) TE side -5
H-back is an extra OL and he’s shifting back and forth, our LBs are late to adjust to the final shift.  Knighton (-1) again gets sealed out by the playside guard which ruins his 1 to 3 gap assignment.  Kerrigan (-1) fails to maintain his 5 gap assignment as the TE and T work to momentarily seal him.  Foster (-1) gets outside the TE but then cuts inside the FB.  He has force, I don’t see anyone else that could, so he should’ve taken the FB with his inside shoulder.  Compton (-1) presses behind Kerrigan, why?  He should have filled between Kerrigan and Foster, that would’ve been a strong ‘fence’ for the RB to get through/around.  This single high safety thing isn’t doing to good.  DHall is completely out of the play when he’s playing that high.  Quarters coverage makes more sense.  Illegal Motion called on the offense
R47 1 15 1 1 Ace 2(H) x 2 Nickel over Pass(4) Scramble 9
Knighton (+1) (pressure +1) with a nice swim move to get inside pressure, but Smith (-2) loses contain.  Jarrett (+0.5) had the screen covered (coverage +1)
R38 2 6 1 1 Shotgun 2×2 Nickel over Run Pin and Pull 2
Jean-Francois (-1) and Baker (+0.5) get pinned, but Baker fights through his.  Kerrigan (-1) gets way too up field leaving a potential seam for the RB to cut through.  Compton (+1.5) pursues this run that is away from him, perfectly and makes the tackle.
R36 3 4 1 0 Shotgun 3×1 Dime Split Pass(4)(Pen) Slant Inc(-5)
(coverage +1) even if he caught it he’d have a tough time getting the first.  False Start
R41 3 9 1 1 Shotgun 3(H) x 1 Dime Split Pass(4) Corner Inc
Hatcher (+0.5) (pressure +1) gets pressure on the QB, but loses contain, he might have been held.  (Coverage +1) Corner route was open but only after about 5-6 seconds.  Why was Dhall (-1) not over top of that throw.
Punt.  2:55 remains 1st qtr.  7-0.
Drive 2 (12:40)
Ln Dn Ds RB TE Off Formation Def Formation R/P Play Call Yards
B18 1 10 1 1 Shotgun 3×1 Bunch Nickel over Run OZ TE side 8
Kerrigan and Foster scrape exchange.  Knighton (-2) just sucks so bad.  He got sealed.  Baker (-1) shoots his gap and gets held and sealed, no call.  Smith sets the edge and Compton (-1) get rip through the Center’s block and gets tackled and taken out the play.  RB cuts it up field behind Compton and hits the 3rd level.
B26 2 2 1 2 Ace 3(H) x 1 tight 3-4 under Pass PA OZ TE side -3
(pressure +1) Baker (+1) and Jean-Francois (+1) get to the QB.  Murphy (+0.5) kept contain.
B23 3 5 1 0 Shotgun 2×2 Dime Split Pass(4) Sack -9
Rush 4 (pressure +1) 4 underneath and 3 deep (coverage +1).  Compton (+0.5) and Blackmon (+0.5) widened their zones and Tyrod had nowhere to throw.  Goldson (+0.5) with a nice jam.  Kerrigan (+1.5) and Hatcher (+1) with a nice stunt and sack.
Punt.  10:33 remains 2nd qtr.  14-0.
Drive 3 (8:41)
Ln Dn Ds RB TE Off Formation Def Formation R/P Play Call Yards
B9 1 10 1 1 Ace 3×1 Bunch Nickel over Pass(4) Hitch Inc
Jarret was a little late in getting to his curl-flat responsibility but I think he was checking for a scramble, which is good.  They had Kearse lined up at the 1 tech, yikes.
B9 2 10 1 1 Shotgun 3(H) x 1 Nickel over Run OZ TE side 0
This blocking scheme is weird.  Center and playside Guard are pulling, with the guard sealing out contain (Murphy) and the Center, lead blocking to the outside I guess?  Anyways, because they pull that allows Golston (+1) and Kerse (+0.5) to get penetration and make the RB cut back.  (I can kind of see how the OC would want the RB to keep going.)  Kerrigan (-0.5) has good backside pursuit but then misses the tackle.  Golston cuts back with the RB and Bashaud (+1) with the tackle.  Compton (+0.5) ran a weird pursuit angle but was in the vacinity as well.
B9 3 10 1 1 Shotgun 3(H) x 1 Dime Split Pass(5) Sack -6
(coverage +1) (pressure +1) Smith (+1) and Kerrigan (+2) meet at the QB.
Punt.  Aaaand we fumble.
Drive 4 (6:59)
Ln Dn Ds RB TE Off Formation Def Formation R/P Play Call Yards
B42 1 10 2 1 Shotgun 2 Back 2×1 (6OL) 3-4 over Run Split Zone Keeper 15
Smith and Foster (-2) are on a scrape exchange and Foster never gets outside.  FB arc blocks Foster out the way, Goldson (-0.5) doesn’t have the speed or angle to take Tyrod down.
R43 1 10 1 1 Shotgun 2×2(H) Nickel under Run OZ Split side 4
Smith (-0.5) gets pushed too far upfield and leaves a huge hole for the RB to cut up in, but does a nice job off getting off his block and coming back to the ball.  Jean-Francois (+0.5) avoids being sealed and gets penetration on the backside.  Not sure how Murphy and Foster were going to take Tyrod if he kept.  JF might have saved that by penetrating.  Knighton is starting to figure out how they are blocking him and holds his ground, kinda.  Compton (+0.5) meets the blocker near the LOS but is perpendicular to the line when he does and gets sealed.  Dunbar (+1) is there to make the tackle along with Smith.
R39 2 6 2 1 Ace 3×1 Bunch (6OL) 3-4 over Pass PA OZ Cross Inc
FB is caught offguard as he is in motion when the ball snaps.  Kearse and Knighton (+1) run a stunt with Compton (-0.5) coming in (pressure -1)  Murphy (-0.5) gets pancaked by a backup OL.  Dhall was in coverage vs the FB who stayed in to block and he works deep to get underneath coverage, doesn’t get deep enough.  Blackmon (coverage +1) is in Woods’ hip pocket.
R39 3 6 1 1 Shotgun 3(H) x 1 3-2-6 okie Pass(3) In Inc
Foster (+1) gets a jam on the TE crosser to let Dhall catch up (coverage +2) and switches to the RB.  RB couldn’t go out because Jarrett was there.  Compton (+1) reads Tyrod perfectly.
R39 4 6 1 1 Shotgun 3×1 Dime split Pass(5) Hitch 6
We send 5 (pressure -1).  Kerrigan and Keenan play the middle of the field.  Watkins owns Dunbar (coverage -1)
R32 1 10 1 1 Shotgun 3×1 Bunch Nickel over Pass(4) Scramble 11
(pressure -1)  (coverage +1) Tyrod has nowhere to throw.  Kerrigan (-1) gets too far upfield on his rush and Jean-Francois (-1) slants to is right, and a lane is open for Tyrod to run.
R21 1 10 2 1 Shotgun 2×1 tight (6OL) 3-4 over Run Pin and Pull 0
Baker slants and gets sealed along with Golston.  I’m not sure if that’s a play design though.  As far as the slant.  Murphy (+0.5) sets enough of an edge that the RB cuts it up.  Compton (+1.5) reads the play like a book and is firing to the line before the ball is even handed off.  Foster (+1.5) runs around an OL block and meets Bashaud at the RB.
R21 2 10 1 1 Ace 3×1 Bunch Nickel even Pass(4) Scramble 8
TE shifts and everyone adjusts except JF and this leaves us in an even look.  Probably didn’t shift because of the stunts.  Jean-Francois (-1) loses contain on Tyrod.  I can’t tell if he isn’t shedding properly or being held.  (coverage +1) (pressure -1)
R13 3 2 1 0 Shotgun 2×2 (2QB) Nickel under Run Inverted Veer 7
Counter blocking up front with the guard kicking out the end and tackle pulling.  Baker (-1) is playing OZ hard and gets sealed.  Jean-Francois holds his gap.  Smith gets optioned.  Kerrigan (-0.5) gets too far up field on his edge responsibility.  He’s trying to execute a gap exchange with Foster but because of the counter blocking it gets blown up.  Foster (+0.5) actually does a hell of a job getting his outside shoulder on the pulling tackle.  and funnels the QB back to Compton (-1) who doesn’t know how to shed his OL block.  He takes on the blocker with the wrong shoulder as he thought this play was going out wide.  Misread.  Great freakin call by Buffalo.
R6 1 G 2 1 Pistol 2 Back 2×1 tight 3-4 bear Run Lead Option 5
FB motions and Kearse moves down a gap with him.  Murphy (-2) is in a wide 9 tech which usually means play QB to pitch unless TE arcs.  TE doesn’t so I’m 99% sure he has QB to pitch, but comits way too early and just ends up taking himself out of the play.  I mean, attack the QB, play pitch, take out the lead blocker, do something.  DHall has pitch but is hesitant on what to do now.  Compton (-1) never gets outside.  He’s in a 5 tech and as soon as he sees the T and TE veer blocking (down blocking) he needs to widen outside of that immediately and play QB to pitch.  Instead he’s late to react and makes the tackle, yes but way late.  Murphy’s goof left the 5 gap open.  Compton doesn’t have the speed to check that AND work outside.  So, -1 instead of a -2 as it’s not completley his fault and he doesn’t have the speed to  make the play.
R1 2 G 2 3 Goaline Goaline Run Dive 0
Knighton (-1) gets blown back into the endzone which causes Foster to get taken out.  Golston (+2) with good penetration that causes his guy to trip up the RB.  Murphy (+0.5) slants inside of the TE block and takes on the FB ahead of the goalline.  Golston wrecked this play.
R1 3 G 2 3 Goaline Goaline Run Offsides HTD
I like Baker’s strategy, just keep doing this.  The ball is already at the 1 foot line anyways.
R1 3 G 2 3 Goaline Goaline Run Dive 0
Golston (+2) anihilates the center and clears a path for Compton (+1) to penetrate and make contact with the RB.  Knighton (+2) swam past the guard and is there to make the play.
R1 4 G 1 1 Shotgun 2×2(H) Nickel split Pass(6) Fade Inc
We send 6 (pressure -1) with Jarrett and Compton backing out in coverage.  TE never releases and it’s a 3 man route.  Blackmon (+0.5) and Compton (+0.5) take out the slot, Dunbar (+1) takes away his man and Bashaud manned up on Watkins, I have no idea who Tyrod was throwing too (coverage +2)
Turnover on downs.  1:34 remains in 2nd qtr.  21-0.
Drive 5 (15:00)
B20 1 10 1 1 Shotgun 3(H) x 1 Bunch 3-4 under (Jarrett) Run Split Zone Read 3
Jean-Francois (+1.5) slants hard and protects Jarrett by taking out the guard.  Now the tackle works up to Compton who was optioned out of the play by design: a wasted block.  Smith sets the edge, but could squeeze down a bit tighter since JF is slanting.  Knighton (-0.5) stays at the LOS but gets sealed out.  Baker (+0.5) penetrates with his block.  Jarrett (+1) and Smith make the play.  Jarrett avoids the WR crack since he’s playing at LB depth and the WR doesn’t want a block in the back.
B23 2 7 1 1 Shotgun 3×1 Nickel over Pass(4) Double Screen 8
A WR takes a Baylor split and that, I think, is designed to draw Compton out of the box.  QB fakes the WR screen and we are left with 5 in the box.  Foster has to take on 2 blockers and funnels the RB back inside to Goldson who makes the tackle.  They made a good call.
B31 1 10 1 1 Shotgun 2 x 2(H) Nickel over Pass(4) PA Scramble 0
TE motion shows zone coverage.  4 underneath, 3 deep.  Baker (+1) splits a double (pressure -1) and flushes out the QB, Tyrod had 4 seconds to look downfield (coverage +1).  Blackmon (+1) comes down from his curl-flat coverage and makes the play.
B31 2 10 1 1 Shotgun 2×2 tight Nickel over Run Inside Zone 10
Knighton (-0.5) gets sealed out.  Foster (-2) attacks what looks like the wrong gap.  Baker and Jarrett have that 5 gap covered and Foster is still pursuing out wide.  Compton tries to cover for Foster and then there is a cut back behind him.
B41 1 10 1 1 Shotgun 2×2(H) 3-4 under (Jarrett) Run Inside Zone 2
Knighton (-0.5) sealed.  Baker (-0.5) too.  Jean-Francois (+1) sheds the guard and works inside of the tackle up his way towards the RB.  He’s closing the space between him and Knighton.  Compton (+1) reads the run quickly and plugs up the A gaps along with JF.  The RB tries to cut it back but Jarrett (+0.5) and Smith are there waiting for him because the TE forgot to block either one of them.
B43 2 8 1 1 Pistol 2 Back 2(H)x1 Nickel over Pass(4) PA Cross 26
(pressure -2) (coverage +1)  3 deep with Compton dropping.  4 underneath.  Blackmon could have gotten a little more depth on his drop but nothing worth negging, the pressure was atrocious.
R31 1 10 2 1 Shotgun 2 Back 2×1 (6OL) 3-4 over Run Sweep TE side 11
Foster looks to check with Goldson after the motion and based on how they played post-snap it looks like Foster had contain, Goldson alley and Kerrigan inside alley.  Kerrigan (-1) misses his tackle and the RB bounces outside and runs it behind Foster who set the edge and Goldson (-1) can’t fill.  Backside, Jean-Francois (-1) gets sealed by a OL downblock and Golston (+0.5) and Kearse (+0.5) replace him.  Kearse (-1) misses the tackle.  Compton (-1) can’t shed his tackle.  Kearse, Golston and Foster were in position but Kerrigan, Goldson, Compton weren’t.  JF got sealed but I can’t tell if he was stunting or just misread the play.
R20 1 10 2 1 Pro Formation 3-4 over Run Power O 7
Murphy sets the edge.  Kearse (-1) gets blown back by a friggin TE.  Foster (-1.5) takes on his block and gets taken out the play.  Compton (+0.5) takes on the pulling guard and RB cuts it to where Foster should be.
R13 2 3 1 2 Ace 2(H) x 2(H) 3-4 under Pass(4) Corner Inc
Kearse (-1) (pressure -1) loses contain.  (coverage +1)  Illegal touching by Buffalo.  Penalty declined.
R13 3 3 1 0 Shotgun 2×2 (2QB) Nickel over Run Inverted Veer -1
Knighton (+1.5) with an all or nothing swim move that usually sees him getting sealed.  EJ Manuel keeps and doesn’t understand how the Inverted Veer play works.  He runs right into Knighton and an unblocked Murphy.  We were so ready for this play:  Baker slanted inside to take that away incase Knighton couldn’t.  Kerrigan (+1) got inside of his kick out block and could have made a play if Manuel runs this correctly.
FG.  8:59 remains 3rd qtr.  21-3.
Drive 6 (8:39)
B20 1 10 1 1 Shotgun 3(H) x 1 Nickel over Pass(4) Scramble 9
Murphy (-1) (pressure -1) misses the tackle and loses Tyrod.  Either Baker (-0.5) or Kearse screws up their pass rush lane.  It looks like Baker but I can’t be 100% sure–could’ve been a called stunt.  Man coverage leaves us vulnerable to the scramble. (coverage +1)
B29 2 1 1 1 Shotgun 3×1 tight Nickel over Pass(4) Swing 2
Foster (-1) (coverage -1) drops like he has a hook-curl zone but if Bashaud is man on the TE then he def has curl-flat.
B31 1 10 1 1 Ace 3×1 Bunch Nickel over Pass(4) Hitch 9
Dunbar (-1) (coverage -1) gives a big cushion and Watkins takes advantage.
B40 2 1 1 1 Ace 3×1 Bunch Nickel over Pass(4) Seam Inc
They take advantage of Compton’s tampa 2 responsibility.  I thought Dhall (-1) miss timed his jump.  (coverage -1)
B40 3 1 1 1 Ace 3×1 tight Nickel bear Run OZ Split side 60
Tackle cant cut Baker (+0.5), Kerrigan covers the Boot.  Knighton (+1) holds his gap at the LOS and stalls the guard for a beat.  Compton (-0.5) can’t take advantage of that and takes a false step trying to get over top of Bashaud.  Jean-Francois (-2) gets penetration but doesn’t hold up his gap which is outside the guard, instead he gets caught up inside of him.  Murphy (-4) gets upfield like its a pass rush…on 3rd and 1.  He had contain and blew it.  Goldson (-4) is nowhere to be found in his alley run support as he aggresively played for the PA Boot.
Touchdown.  6:48 remains in the 3rd qtr.  28-10.
Drive 7 (4:22)
Ln Dn Ds RB TE Off Formation Def Formation R/P Play Call Yards
B15 1 10 1 1 Shotgun 2(H) x 2 Nickel over Pass(4) PA Split Zone Flat 37
Kerrigan (-1) (pressure -1) doesn’t get a jam on the H-Back and loses contain on the QB.  Compton (-2) (coverage -1) with a poor angle on the releasing Hback and misses the tackle.  Damn he’s slow.
R48 1 10 1 1 Shotgun 2(H) x 2 Nickel over Pass(4) Go 48
(pressure -1) (coverage -4)  Bashaud (-2) just gets beat inside and deep.  Dhall (-2) can’t get over top.
Touchdown.  3:48 remains 3rd qtr.  28-17.  We score to go up 18 with 11 mintues left in the game and charting ceases because it’s Christmas and I’m calling it.