Fight For Old DC Previews Seattle

WHAT Skins (3-4) vs Seahawks (5-2)
WHERE CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA
WHEN Sunday Nov 5th, 4:05pm ET
THE LINE Skins +7.5 (O/U: 45)
TV FOX
WEATHER H: 42, L: 35 Rain

Skins Defense Seattle Offense
DVOA 13 17
Rush 11 28
Pass 16 11

(Football Outsiders)

Run Defense vs Seattle

Bunch Formations:  In bunch formations close to the line they put 6’6 230 Tanner McEvoy to the inside and have him crack down on outside backers:

When the bunch is split further out they put smurf WR Doug Baldwin to the inside and have him crack down on slightly smaller backers.

Even at 5’11 Baldwin is a good blocker and can get leverage.

Base runs:  A lot of Zone Stretch which is what Dallas ran 13 times to close out the game last week.  This offensive line is far from Dallas quality; the Cowboys are ranked first in rushing offense, Seattle is 28th.  Ziggy Hood is going to be in a fair fight for once.

I-Formation could give Compton fits when it comes to play action but that guy gets got anyways, it will be up to Zach Brown to make up for him.

Key Matchups:

DOUG BALDWIN vs ENTIRE TEAM

I think this is the most complete WR we’ve faced all season, the only thing stopping him is Russell Wilson not throwing his way every down.  He blocks and runs routes with anger and aggression, a quintessential “high motor” guy.

ZIGGY HOOD vs OUTSIDE ZONE

I’ll leave this as a key matchup until he proves he’s a non-liability or Ion and Allen rejoin as partners in crime.

MARTRELL SPAIGHT vs MISSED TACKLES

Pass Defense vs Seattle

Versus Cover 3:  Against cover 3 Seattle likes to pin the cornerbacks against the sidelines and work the middle of the field with a slot WR or TE:

Against our Nickel that is putting Kendall Fuller in space and the advantage tips in our favor.  But in our 3-4 that is most likely DJ versus Jimmy Graham and the pendulum swings the other way.

The only route combo that worried me was a double post from a Twins set (2 WRs to one side.)  Against the 49ers Zach Brown struggled to get depth in his drop against this exact route combo and left the deep safety to pick his poison between the double posts:

It’s a long developing route but Russell Wilson has been a Houdini in the pocket as of late.

Trips:  Routes from their trips formation usually involve 2 guys running an underneath man beater combo and one receiver clearing out with a Go/deep route.  It usually results in a short gain but if the seam area is open they will take a shot:

The scariest thing I’ve seen come from their Trips alignment was this wheel route from Baldwin, I mean holy shit:

If we get caught in man coverage, then Fuller or Norman will have to fight through traffic and keep up with that acceleration.

Key Matchups:

GALETTE, KERRIGAN AND LANIER vs STAY IN YOUR RUSH LANES

Wilson has a 23 yard TD scramble under his belt and can be a nuisance when allowed to dance around in the pocket and buy time.  Lanier lost his feet vs Philly while Kerrigan and Galette have been prone to getting up field and losing contain.  They will need to figure out how to pressure while keeping eyes on the target; a patient bull rush could be the move of choice.

DOUG BALDWIN vs ENTIRE TEAM

I mean did you see that wheel route?

SAFETIES vs SEAM ROUTES and LINEBACKERS vs PLAY ACTION

The area around the hash marks: Wilson loves taking intermediate to deep shots right in that area.  I don’t see Wilson attacking our corners when Brown, Compton and our safeties have shown to have holes in their coverage.

Boo if:

  • Another one of our guys gets hurt
  • Russel Wilson buys time in the pocket
  • Russel Wilson escapes the pocket
  • Doug Baldwin runs that wheel route

CHEER IF:

  • Nobody gets hurt

Three Predictions:

  1. Lanier gets a sack
  2. Compton cedes a first down on third and long.
  3. Kendall Fuller gets an interception

If Wilson pulls out that Houdini magic then I could see our safeties and inside linebackers exploited for chunks of yards.  But on the perimeter, it looks like we have the better athletes at every level: Preston Smith, Kerrigan, Norman and Fuller.  Hood might be on equal footing with this offensive line, if so, I really like our chances.

Skins 20-13.

 

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