Fight For Old DC Previews the Saints

WHAT Skins (4-5) vs Saints (7-2)
WHERE  Superdome, New Orleans, LA
WHEN  Nov 19th, 1 PM ET
THE LINE  Skins +8 (O/U: 51)
WEATHER It’s a Dome

Junior Galette: when he was good

DVOA Rankings

Skins Defense Saints Offense
Overall 13th 2nd
Run 12th 1st
Pass 14th 8th

(Football Outsiders)

Run Defense vs The Saints

The top ranked rush offense in DVOA checks in with a thunder and lightning combination consisting of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara, both of whom earned top 5 grades from PFF last week.

PFF on Ingram:

Ingram gained 97 of his 131 rushing yards after contact, forced five missed tackles, and found the end zone three times.

and Kamara:

utilizing his speed effectively. Eight of his 12 runs gained at least nine yards, and he averaged 8.8 yards overall. Kamara added a bit more on screens in the passing game, too, with five catches for 32 yards.

sounds like Thunder and Lightning to this blog.

Gruden mentioned in his Thursday presser that New Orleans had a strong Power game:

and judging by how the right side of the line caved in the defense, he wasn’t kidding.  This could be an issue for McClain who has struggled with double teams on Power, it was bad enough that Minnesota shifted their line so they could target him.  Slanting our line and blitzing the linebackers could be how we compensate if it becomes an issue again this Sunday.

When Buffalo over shifted to stop Power, New Orleans took advantage of their alignment by getting the ball outside to Kamara:

Compton handled communication and getting guys lined up properly, with him out the onus falls on Brown.

Key Match Ups:


Last week McGee and selling out versus the run bailed him out.  We will see what happens this week.


PFF likes Mark Ingram’s ability to break tackles and get yards after contact.  Will we get early season Spaight who missed tackles or Week 10 Spaight that tracked dudes down.


Get lined up and keep outside leverage on the guy.

Pass Defense vs The Saints

New Orleans likes to get the ball out quick to Kamara in a variety of ways.  Here’s a Tunnel Screen to Kamara:

Minnesota exploited our inside linebackers with the Tunnel Screen and I’ll bet one dollar we see one of these on Sunday.  Another thing teams exploit are our Flat Zones when we go in Cover 3.  Kamara’s speed could be dangerous on swing passes.

PFF loves outside receivers Teddy Ginn and Michael Thomas.  Ginn is a deep shot specialist while Thomas can be a match up problem:

Thomas hauled in seven of eight targets and caught at least one pass while matched up against six different Bears defenders.

Regardless of the WR no way Norman gets got two weeks in a row, right?

Key Match Ups:


Earlier recognition than what they showed on Sunday would help


Cover him please.

Boo If:

  • McClain can’t handle double teams on Power
  • Spaight tackles like early-season Spaight
  • Kamara gets outside


  • We win

Three Predictions

  1. Kamara breaks one long
  2. We give up a touchdown early and in the last 2 minutes of the first half.
  3. We exceed expectations in the second half and only give up 6 points.

So we got a road game, a top offense, and Drew Brees.  Hey at least we get Ioannidis back.  He could be the boost we need as our interior has been the main culprit in three of our last four losses.  That being said, I expect we lean on our offense for this one.

Any Given Sunday.  Skins 30-27.

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